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We remember Thucydides as a historian thanks to his documentation of the Peloponnesian War, but we often forget that he was also a philosopher....
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The first time space power was used for terrestrial warfare was the Gulf War, during which satellites contributed significantly to military operations in the...
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Our forecast for Russia, dating back to my earliest books, was two-fold: first, that Russia would reassert itself and at least appear to be...
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On July 12, Armenian and Azerbaijani forces clashed in the Tovuz border region – far from the disputed region of Nagorno-Karabakh, where such clashes usually...
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Racial Cycles

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Slavery was the law of the land when the United States was founded, and it would take nearly a century, and a civil war,...
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After 10 years of negotiation, the European Council earlier this week authorized the EU to sign a trade agreement with China. The deal will...
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The Queen Elizabeth and the Prince of Wales

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The British recently finished building two new aircraft carriers, the Queen Elizabeth and the Prince of Wales. Last week, Britain announced that one of...
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This year is modern Lebanon’s 100th anniversary. What should be an auspicious occasion is instead marked by the most severe economic crisis in the...
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Is the Eastern Mediterranean the New Manchuria and Abyssinia?

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A financial crisis has swept the globe, creating socio-economic tensions and political divisions that divert governments’ attention from important global issues. In the preceding...
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The Geopolitical Importance of the WHO

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In 1958, the Soviet Union proposed a global effort to eradicate smallpox, a disease that kills roughly a third of those it infects, including...
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Two weeks ago, Russia concluded a constitutional referendum meant to shore up the power of the Kremlin and especially of Vladimir Putin. Under the...
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What We're Reading

What We’re Reading: Disease and the Honey Trap

What We're Reading
Twelve Diseases That Changed Our World By Irwin Sherman Modern society is far removed from the reality of death. That was not the case for the...
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What We’re Reading: Russia in the Arctic and Ghosts in Tehran

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Under the Shadow Written and directed by Babak Anvari Shideh, an aspiring doctor living in Tehran at the height of the Iran-Iraq War, grabs her daughter,...
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What We’re Reading: Spy Stories and the Changing World Order

What We're Reading
The Spy Created by Gideon Raff “The Spy,” a six-episode series airing on Netflix, tells the true story of Eli Cohen, an Egyptian-born Israeli spy who...
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What We’re Reading: American Sea Power and the Intermarium

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Theodore Roosevelt’s Naval Diplomacy: The U.S. Navy and the Birth of the American Century By Henry J. Hendrix A helpful reader suggested "Theodore Roosevelt's Naval Diplomacy”...
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From the Desk of George Friedman
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Our forecast for Russia, dating back to my earliest books, was two-fold: first, that Russia would reassert itself and at least appear to be...
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George Friedman’s new book:
The Storm Before the Calm

The Storm before the Calm“Who will win the acrimonious 2024 presidential election? Shockingly, it won’t actually matter that much, argues renowned geopolitical forecaster George Friedman. America, he contends, is governed less by leaders and legislation and more by cyclical forces that work deep within the nation’s unique structure.”
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TikTok and the tech war. The White House is expected to ban the popular social media platform TikTok in the coming days on grounds...
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Media / Interviews

RealClearWorld: The EU Opens the Door to More China Trade

After 10 years of negotiation, the European Council earlier this week authorized the EU to sign a trade agreement with China. - Antonia Colibasanu Full story
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George Friedman at Mauldin Economics’ SIC 2024

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The Leighton Smith Podcast: US Riots and George Friedman, June 3, 2024

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Daily Memo: Making Moves in the South China Sea

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South China Sea moves. During his annual state of the union address on Monday, Philippine President Rodrigo Duterte ruled out allowing the U.S. to...
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Slavery was the law of the land when the United States was founded, and it would take nearly a century, and a civil war,...
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The Presidential Elections in Belarus

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On Aug. 9, Belarus will hold presidential elections at a time when the country has never faced so many threats from so many directions....
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Special Report:

The Geopolitics of Donald Trump

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“There are those who regard Donald Trump as too stupid to make decisions. There are others who regard him as a brilliant if instinctive crafter of policy. What we know of him is this. "

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The World in 2024

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The Road to 2040

We look into the future and forecast what the world…

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The World in 2024

One era is ending and another will soon begin.

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